The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Background In adults, cold-attributable mortality exceeds heat-attributable mortality roughly 17-fold. Child-specific evidence has begun to emerge only recently - a nationwide Brazilian case-crossover study located the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) for under-five deaths, and a 56-country survey-based analysis linked monthly temperature anomalies to under-five mortality - but no multi-country, climate-zone-resolved estimate of the childhood respiratory-infection MMT exists, and whether temperature variability is independently associated with childhood respiratory mortality at the global scale is unknown. We quantified both. Methods We combined Global Burden of Disease 2023 mortality estimates, lower respiratory infection (LRI) deaths at ages 0-19 years and asthma deaths at ages 0-24 years, 171 countries, 1990-2023 - with 0.5 deg monthly land temperature and diurnal temperature range (DTR) fields from C-LSAT/C-LDTR (1901-2023). Four exposure dimensions (annual mean, DTR, seasonal amplitude, interannual variability) entered two-way fixed-effects models with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors. A quadratic term in mean temperature located the MMT, with percentile confidence intervals from a 300-replication country-cluster bootstrap. Future-exposure leads, country-level detrending, and permutation tests assessed contemporaneous causality, applied to both the linear coefficients and the quadratic term generating the MMT; national pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV3) coverage and ambient PM2.5 exposure series were added as time-varying mechanistic covariates. Results The childhood LRI MMT was 17.1 C (95% CI 14.7-19.8), the 36th percentile of the annual-temperature distribution; zone estimates were 24.7 C in tropical and 15.8 C in subtropical countries, with weak temperate and no subarctic identification. The quadratic term underpinning the MMT, however, failed both falsification checks - future temperatures reproduced the U-shape and country-level detrending erased it - so these MMT values describe a trend-level geographic pattern of the annual construct rather than a contemporaneous dose-response. Interannual temperature variability was positively associated with LRI (+0.278, 95% CI 0.102-0.454; p = 0.002) and asthma mortality (+0.836, 95% CI 0.447-1.226; p = 2.6 x 10^-5) per 1 C, but future-exposure models returned nearly identical significant coefficients and detrending erased significance, supporting only a trend-level association; adjustment for national PCV3 coverage and PM2.5 exposure left these estimates essentially unchanged. Annual mean temperature was likewise inversely associated with both outcomes at the trend level; DTR and seasonal amplitude showed no independent within-country effects. Conclusions This study provides the first multi-country, climate-zone-resolved geography of the optimal temperature for childhood respiratory survival, spanning 171 countries; because the underlying quadratic association is trend-level, the estimates are directional. The observed variability-mortality associations are trend-level signals rather than contemporaneous causal evidence; daily-scale, child-specific designs are required to determine whether short-term thermal variability affects paediatric respiratory mortality.

Background: Polymorphisms in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain much of the interindividual variation in isoniazid (INH) metabolism and determine risk of toxicities. However, there is limited evidence to guide INH dose adjustment according to the NAT2 acetylator profile in weekly rifapentine-INH tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT). Methods: In a prospective, multicenter, within-subject PK trial (NCT05413551), adults initiating 3HP in Brazil were assigned genotype-guided INH doses (slow: 5 mg/kg <=300 mg; intermediate: 15 mg/kg <=900 mg; rapid: 25 mg/kg <=1,500 mg) alongside a standard 900 mg flat dose on an alternate occasion. AUC0-24 and C24 were estimated from serial blood samples; a two-compartment Michaelis-Menten population PK model characterized NAT2 effects on clearance. Results: Among 228 participants, 47.4% (108/228) were intermediate, 43.4% (99/228) slow, and 9.2% (21/228) rapid acetylators. Genotype-guided dosing reduced AUC0-24 variability approximately two-fold versus standard dosing (CV 58.8% vs 76.8%) and increased exposure uniformity (median AUC0-24 27.2 [IQR 18.8-41.3] vs 43.2 [27.3-71.0] mg h/L). Among slow acetylators, C24 >0.15 ug/mL decreased from 27/42 (64%) with standard dosing to 1/42 (2%) with genotype-guided dosing (P<0.0001). In 104 participants with intensive PK sampling, rapid acetylators receiving guided doses had AUC0-24 similar to standard-dose intermediate acetylators (42.8 vs 39.5 mg h/L; P=.63). Monte Carlo simulations supported doses of 600, 900, and 1,200 mg for slow, intermediate, and rapid acetylators, respectively. Conclusions: NAT2-guided isoniazid dosing reduced variation in drug levels, averting very low and high AUC and C24. These findings inform genotype-stratified dosing of INH for TPT, which might reduce toxicities and improve outcomes.

Background Elexacaftor-tezacaftor-ivacaftor (ETI) has been demonstrated to improve lung function in clinical trials; however, evidence describing effects on trajectories and whether long-term improvements are sustained (>1-year) is lacking. We estimated within-person lung clearance index (LCI) trajectories before and after ETI initiation, assessing changes in level and rate of change, alongside acute LCI change, up to three years after ETI initiation. Methods Prospective observational study of children at a tertiary hospital. Children aged 3-17 years with [&ge;]2 LCI testing occasions (i) before and (ii) after starting ETI were used to describe lung function trajectories. Children with [&ge;]1 pre-ETI and [&ge;]1 post-ETI LCI occasion(s) were used to describe acute LCI change after ETI initiation. Age-adjusted LCI trajectories for time periods (i) before and (ii) after ETI initiation were estimated using linear mixed-effects models, and pre- and post-ETI LCIs were compared using paired Wilcoxon tests. Results Mean pre-ETI and post-ETI longitudinal changes in LCI were -0.007 (95% CI: -0.28, 0.27; n=35) and 0.12 (95% CI: -0.17, 0.41; n=20) turnovers per year, respectively. Before ETI initiation, 57% (30/53) of patients had an LCI[&ge;]7.1 turnovers (indicating impaired lung function), compared to 26% (14/53) post-ETI, with a median LCI difference of -0.70 (95% CI -0.84, -0.46; p<0.001) turnovers. Within-individual variability in LCI decreased post-ETI. Conclusions Our real-world data within a unique longitudinal study provide a comprehensive picture of ETI benefit by outlining not only acute improvement in LCI but maintained stability in LCI trajectories and improved LCI stability sustained up to three years post-initiation.

Background Childhood respiratory mortality in China has fallen by over 90% in three decades alongside sustained national warming, yet national long-run evidence on temperature and child respiratory mortality is lacking. Methods We linked Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 mortality estimates for China - lower respiratory infections (LRI), ages 0-19, and asthma, ages 0-24, 1990-2021 - with C-LSAT 0.5 deg gridded temperature data (1990-2019), aggregated nationally and to five climate zones. Four annual indicators (mean temperature, diurnal temperature range, seasonal amplitude, interannual variability) entered regressions of log mortality rates with Newey-West standard errors. A bootstrapped (500 resamples) quadratic model probed the minimum mortality temperature (MMT), with PM2.5-adjusted analyses and future-exposure, permutation, and detrended falsification tests. Results LRI deaths fell by 96.3% (330,194 in 1990 to 12,098 in 2021; 95% uncertainty interval 9,669-14,891) and asthma deaths by 94.9% (3,287 to 167), while mean temperature rose 0.364 deg C per decade and diurnal temperature range narrowed 0.092 deg C per decade. Baseline coefficients were large (mean temperature -1.696, SE 0.174; diurnal temperature range +2.408, SE 0.336; seasonal amplitude -0.162, SE 0.082; interannual variability +2.924, SE 1.514, per 1 deg C in log rate), but the future-exposure test failed and detrending nullified every coefficient: the associations are trend-level, and short-cycle causal effects are not identifiable. Nor was the national MMT identifiable - observed temperature support spans only 6.66-8.13 deg C, and the nominal turning point of 35.84 deg C is an extrapolation artifact (quadratic term p = 0.963). Within the observed range, warming and declining mortality moved in the same direction. Conclusions The 96% decline in childhood respiratory mortality cannot be attributed to warming. China sits on the low-temperature side of the optimum, and the marginal direction of future warming requires stronger designs to establish. The falsification framework offers a discipline for climate-health inference in China.

Introduction Acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) is a leading cause of hospitalisation and death, particularly in older adults and adults with comorbidities, with acute lower respiratory tract infection (aLRTI; pneumonia and non-pneumonic LRTI) being a major component. Non-pulmonary complications and functional decline after aLRTI are recognised, but their pathogen-specific burden is poorly described. We aimed to quantify renal, hepatic, thromboembolic and functional complications, and mortality, after aLRTI hospitalisation, by clinical phenotype and pathogen. Methods We conducted a cohort study of adults (>18 years) admitted with aLRTD to two hospitals in Bristol, UK (01 August 2022-31 July 2024). aLRTD was classified as pneumonia, non-pneumonic LRTI (NP-LRTI) or no diagnosis of aLRTI. Pathogens were identified from standard-of-care and research microbiology. Outcomes were acute kidney injury (AKI), acute liver dysfunction, venous thromboembolism (VTE), in-hospital falls, reduced mobility at discharge, increased care requirements, and 30-day and 1-year mortality. Analyses were descriptive. Results Among 246,797 adult admissions, 21,456 aLRTD hospitalisations were included: 10,239 (47.7%) pneumonia, 7,742 (36.1%) NP-LRTI and 3,475 (16.2%) with no evidence of aLRTI. Of 19,152 tested aLRTD admissions, 8,503 (44.4%) had a positive microbiological/virological test, yielding 9,204 pathogen detections; 1,194 (6.2%) had co-infections, and SARS-CoV-2 was most frequent, with influenza the second most common in pneumonia and NP-LRTI. Pneumonia had greater severity than NP-LRTI and no diagnosis of aLRTI (median length of stay 6 vs 4 vs 4 days; ICU admission 3.4% vs 0.7% vs 0.5%, respectively). Overall, 22.2% developed AKI, 6.1% acute liver dysfunction, 0.6% DVT and 2.4% PE; 1.8% had a fall, 11.5% reduced mobility, and 16.6% required increased care at discharge. 30-day and 1-year mortality were highest for pneumonia (14.0% and 32.0%, respectively). Pathogen-specific analyses showed longer stays and higher complications and mortality rates for SARS-CoV-2 and Streptococcus pneumoniae, and shorter stays with lower complication and mortality rates for influenza and Haemophilus influenzae. Conclusions Non-cardiovascular complications and functional decline after aLRTI were common, particularly in pneumonic and SARS-CoV-2 or pneumococcal disease. These findings support routine surveillance for renal, hepatic, thromboembolic events, early mobilisation and rehabilitation, and consideration of multi-system outcomes when evaluating public health and economic value of vaccines and therapies.

Vaccine responses vary across individuals due to differences in ageing and health status. Using transcriptomic profiling, we analyzed early gene expression profiles after influenza (QIV) followed by pneumococcal (PCV13) vaccination in 148 participants spanning young, middle-aged, and older adults. The two vaccines induced distinct immune signatures: QIV elicited innate and interferon immune activation, while PCV13 triggered inflammation-based responses. Older adults showed weaker but similar transcriptomic profiles compared to young adults. Among older adults, frailty, in addition to age, was strongly associated with reduced innate responses. In addition, we identified associations between early-stage transcriptomic profiles and later-stage antibody responses for QIV; however, no such associations were observed for PCV13. Importantly, observed group differences arose not from altered immune modules but from differences in the magnitude of gene expression, paving the way for immune-boosting interventions to enhance early gene expression in at-risk populations.

Importance: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) produce diverse immune toxicities, but whether checkpoint blockade also modifies associations between other drugs and adverse events is poorly understood. Objective: To define ICI-associated toxicity organization and determine whether drug-associated adverse events and onset vary with ICI exposure and checkpoint pathway. Design and Setting: Cross-sectional analysis of deduplicated FAERS reports from 2016 through 2025; analyses performed in 2026. Participants: Among 13,701,106 deduplicated reports, 2,365,269 were cancer associated and 256,940 contained an ICI. Median age among cancer reports with observed age was 66 years (IQR, 56-75 years); 1,031,999 (43.6%) were female and 1,003,154 (42.4%) were male. Exposures: ICI exposure in any reported drug role, individual primary-suspect drugs, and checkpoint-pathway exposure. Main Outcomes and Measures: Reporting odds ratios (ORs), cross-organ adverse-event communities, adjusted primary-suspect drug x ICI interaction ORs for Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN), drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DRESS), acute generalized exanthematous pustulosis (AGEP), interstitial nephritis, drug-induced liver injury (DILI), and vomiting (VOM), and accelerated failure-time model time ratios for documented onset. Results: Of 3001 eligible Preferred Terms in cancer-associated reports, 2091 differed at a false discovery rate (FDR) less than .05. Four cross-organ toxicity communities were identified. Of 138 eligible drug-phenotype pairs, 65 had FDR-significant interactions, including moxifloxacin-SJS/TEN amplification (interaction OR, 101.72; 95% CI, 39.11-264.55), enfortumab vedotin-SJS/TEN attenuation (interaction OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.13-0.23), and omeprazole-interstitial nephritis amplification (interaction OR, 10.35; 95% CI, 7.62-14.05). Among 60,324 reports contributing to temporal analyses, ICI exposure was associated with longer adjusted documented time to onset for 5 of 6 phenotypes (time ratios, 1.37-1.59) but not AGEP (time ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.67-1.46). Temporal associations also differed across checkpoint pathways. Conclusions and Relevance: ICIs were associated with a structured cross-organ toxicity landscape, phenotype-specific modification of drug-associated adverse events, and distinct temporal patterns across checkpoint pathways. These findings support checkpoint blockade as a modifier of drug-associated toxicity and motivate longitudinal and mechanistic validation.

Background: Patients receiving anti-TNF treatment for chronic inflammatory disease display impaired antibody responses, but it remains unclear how immune memory formation is affected. We evaluated antibody responses and memory B cells (Bmem) after COVID-19 booster vaccination in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients receiving anti-TNF treatment. Methodology: Blood was sampled at baseline, 1, and 6 months after WH1/BA.5 bivalent or XBB.1.5 monovalent vaccination from 27 IBD patients receiving intravenous anti-TNF and 44 controls. Neutralizing antibodies were measured using an infectious virus assay. SARS-CoV-2 spike receptor binding domain (RBD)-specific serum IgG was quantified by ELISA, and RBD-specific Bmem were immunophenotyped by flow cytometry using recombinant proteins from ancestral, Omicron BA.1, BA.5, XBB.1.5, and JN.1 variants. Results: Serum IgG to vaccine RBD and neutralizing antibodies in patients increased pre to 1 month post-vaccination, but were lower than controls. Ancestral-, BA.5- and XBB.1.5-specific Bmem increased after vaccination but were significantly lower in patients than controls. Within RBD-specific Bmem, frequencies of recently activated CD21lo cells were increased after vaccination, and were higher in patients than controls. Fewer antigen-specific Bmem in patients expressed IgG4, and more expressed IgG3 or IgD following vaccination. Following vaccination, more RBD-specific Bmem recognized multiple viral variants. However, patients had fewer Bmem that could bind to subvariants than controls. Conclusion: Antibody and Bmem responses to COVID-19 booster vaccination in anti-TNF-treated IBD patients displayed reduced capacity, durability and cross-reactivity, suggesting impaired immune memory for protection against breakthrough infection. This supports the recommendation for annual booster vaccination to prevent severe disease and viral spread.

Background VEXAS syndrome is a late onset autoinflammatory disease caused by somatic UBA1 mutations and characterized by heterogeneous systemic and hematologic manifestations. We aimed to describe all identified Belgian cases through a national multicenter cohort. Methods We conducted a retrospective study across four Belgian tertiary centers. Clinical, biological, genetic, therapeutic, and outcome data were collected using standardized anonymized case report forms. Analyses were descriptive. Results Twenty-one male patients were identified between January 2018 and May 2025. General symptoms such as Fatigue, weight loss and sweating occurred in 95% of cases. The most frequent manifestations were cutaneous (85.7%), hematologic (76.2%), articular (66.7%), thromboembolic (57.1%), chondritis (42.9%), ophthalmologic (38.1%), pulmonary (38.1%). Other manifestations also included vasculitis (61.9%). At diagnosis, 95% had anemia, macrocytic in 57%, and 28.6% had thrombocytopenia. Corticosteroids were the main first line therapy. Second line treatments included anti IL 6 agents (46.7%), JAK inhibitors (20%), and azacitidine (14.3%). Complete remission occurred in 50% of patients receiving anti IL 6 therapy and in 33% treated with either JAK inhibitors or azacitidine. Two patients underwent allogeneic stem cell transplantation, one died from infectious complications. Twenty six infectious episodes were recorded, including opportunistic infections. Six patients (28.6%) died during follow-up, four from infectious complications. Conclusion This first Belgian national cohort confirms the clinical heterogeneity of VEXAS syndrome and highlights substantial infectious morbidity and mortality. Access to targeted second-line therapies, particularly anti IL-6 agents and JAK inhibitors, remains challenging despite apparent clinical benefit.

Pneumococcal vaccination of older adults is primarily guided by age and clinical eligibility, despite substantial variation in individual risk of severe pneumonia. Here, we used longitudinal electronic health records from 787,538 adults aged [&ge;]65 years to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) and quantify clinical benefit according to baseline risk of pneumonia hospitalization. We developed and validated a machine-learning model using pre-PCV20 data to estimate individual 12-month hospitalization risk and integrated these predictions into a propensity score matching framework. Overall vaccine effectiveness against pneumonia hospitalization was 16.5% (95% CI, 10.6-22.1), but this population-level estimate masked substantial heterogeneity in clinical benefit. The 60% at lowest predicted risk, characterized by younger age and fewer pulmonary and other chronic conditions, showed no measurable reduction in hospitalization (VE, 3.1%; 95% CI, -14.4 to 18.0) and had an estimated 1-year number needed to vaccinate (NNV) of 7,423, compared with 184 and 115 in the intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively. These findings suggest that incorporating baseline risk into adult pneumococcal vaccination strategies could enable more targeted and potentially better-timed vaccination.

Background Childhood respiratory infectious deaths are partitioned across four Global Burden of Disease cause modules-26 etiological attributions within lower respiratory infections, tuberculosis, COVID-19, and whooping cough-never jointly reported. Whether the structure of this combined mortality spectrum has changed over time, and with what implications for intervention design, has not been quantified. We assembled and analyzed the integrated spectrum for children and adolescents aged 0-19 years, 1990-2023. Methods We integrated Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (release v8352) estimates into a 29-node spectrum-26 lower respiratory infection etiologies plus tuberculosis, COVID-19, and pertussis-globally and across seven super-regions, with uncertainty propagated by summing bounds. We computed Shannon diversity, Herfindahl concentration, and effective cause counts; phenotyped pandemic-window collapse and rebound per cause; linked pathogen shares to WHO/UNICEF vaccine coverage; and mapped geographic concentration in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Reporting follows GATHER. Results In 2023 the 29 causes jointly accounted for 965,330 deaths (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 680,096-1,342,437). Shannon diversity rose from 2.336 to 2.711 (+16.1%) between 1990 and 2023; the effective number of causes nearly doubled (5.57 to 9.94), inversely coupled to total deaths (Spearman rho = -0.997). Whooping cough ranked second (112,954 deaths; 95% UI 64,576-185,708; 11.7%) and showed the spectrum's only rebound above 100% (-57.4% collapse, +111.0% rebound). Tuberculosis ranked third (87,764; 57,779-124,912; 9.1%) with the highest concentration in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia (87.1%). COVID-19 entered at rank five (52,899; 47,275-59,183; 5.5%). Nineteen of 29 causes exceeded the poverty-lock threshold (>80.59% of deaths in sub-Saharan Africa plus South Asia). Conclusions Childhood respiratory infectious mortality has become more diverse and more concentrated in poverty as it has declined. Single-pathogen interventions now address a shrinking share; the spectrum's structure argues for platform interventions-oxygen, antimicrobial access, referral-tailored jointly by age and geography, implying that pathogen-specific strategies alone cannot finish the remaining mortality agenda.

IMPORTANCE: A recent meta-analysis showed that chemoimmunotherapy was associated with improved overall survival (OS) compared with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) monotherapy for programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) tumor proportion score (TPS) [&ge;] 50% advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, whether this benefit reflects chemotherapy effect or ICI heterogeneity remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To reassess the survival benefit of adding chemotherapy to ICI monotherapy using agent-stratified comparisons anchored to chemotherapy. DATA SOURCES: The 24 phase 3 randomized clinical trials included in the original meta-analysis (search date, August 3, 2025). DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Hazard ratios (HRs) for OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were extracted from each trial in the original meta-analysis. Two analytic frameworks were used: within-agent comparisons (same ICI in both chemoimmunotherapy and monotherapy) and across-agent comparisons (ICI in one treatment strategy only). For within-agent comparisons, a two-stage random-effects meta-analysis was conducted. In stage 1, ICI-specific HRs for chemoimmunotherapy and ICI monotherapy versus chemotherapy were pooled and their ratio was calculated (RHR = HRchemoimmuno/HRmono; RHR < 1 favors chemoimmunotherapy). The RHRs were pooled in stage 2. For across-agent comparisons, RHR was derived from pooled HRs by treatment strategy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Endpoints were OS and PFS. RESULTS: In within-agent comparisons (4 ICIs; 13 trials; N = 3252), pooled RHR was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.78-1.13; P = .48; I2 = 0.0%) for OS and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.68-1.06; P = .14; I2 = 0.0%) for PFS. In across-agent comparisons (7 ICIs; 11 trials; N = 2231), RHR favored chemoimmunotherapy for OS (0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.92; P = .01) and PFS (0.46; 95% CI, 0.37-0.58; P < .001). In a sensitivity analysis restricted to trials of NCCN-recommended regimens, pooled RHR was 1.02 (95% CI, 0.81-1.28; P = .87) for OS. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In the within-agent comparisons, adding chemotherapy to ICI monotherapy did not improve OS or PFS in patients with PD-L1 TPS [&ge;] 50% advanced NSCLC. The benefit in the original meta-analysis appears driven by across-ICI heterogeneity. These findings are consistent with ICI monotherapy as a standard first-line option and underscore the need for agent-level stratification in across-trial comparisons.

Importance: Maternal vaccination and long-acting monoclonal antibodies are now available in the U.S. to prevent RSV. Long-acting monoclonal antibody administration in the U.S. commonly occurs after hospital discharge in outpatient settings, leaving some infants unprotected early in life when severe RSV risk is highest. Comparative effectiveness between the two interventions and whether delays affect effectiveness estimates have not been quantified. Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of infant long-acting monoclonal antibody strategies and a maternal vaccination strategy, each compared to no intervention, and the comparative effectiveness of intervention strategies when accounting for real-world delays in monoclonal antibody receipt. Design: Cohort study using target trial emulation to compare four strategies for prevention of RSV-related outcomes. Setting: The U.S. between 2023 and 2025 using a nationwide database of employer-sponsored commercial insurance claims. Participants: 120,586 commercially insured mother-infants, whose infants were born in the U.S. during the 2023-2024 or 2024-2025 RSV season. Infants who could not be paired with their mother's record, did not enroll in commercial insurance within 75 days from birth, received palivizumab, and had an implausible birth date were excluded. Interventions: Comparison of four RSV prevention strategies: (i) maternal RSVpreF; (ii) long-acting monoclonal antibody given within the first week of life (mAb as intended); (iii) long-acting monoclonal antibody given within a six-month grace period from birth (mAb within grace period); and (iv) a control. Main outcomes and measures: Effectiveness against first RSV-associated hospitalization and medically-attended RSV illness was summarized using adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and estimated using an inverse propensity weighting approach, with weights accounting for maternal age, maternal comorbidities affecting pregnancy, obstetric and newborn complications, season, region, and birth timing relative to October 1. A weighted Kaplan Meier estimator was used to estimate strategy-specific cumulative incidence of RSV outcomes over time. Results: In the first five weeks of life, the mAb within grace period strategy doubled the hazard of RSV hospitalization (aHR: 2.0 [95% CI: 1.0-4.9]) and increased the hazard of medically-attended RSV (aHR: 1.6 [95% CI: 1.0-2.7]) compared to the maternal RSVpreF strategy. The hazard for RSV hospitalization was similar for the mAb as intended strategy compared to the maternal RSVpreF strategy (aHR = 0.9 [95% CI: 0.3-1.9]). Conclusions and relevance: RSVpreF and monoclonal antibodies were similarly effective when monoclonal antibodies were administered close to birth, but when accounting for real-world delays in monoclonal antibody receipt, the maternal RSVpreF strategy was more effective than the mAb within grace period strategy.

Migraine is a leading cause of disability, yet preventive treatment remains largely empirical despite the availability of several mechanistically distinct therapies. Genetic data can clarify mechanisms and therapeutic hypotheses when association signals are integrated with molecular and clinical data. We meta-analyzed migraine GWAS data from 12 European ancestry cohorts (206,893 cases and 2,093,175 controls) and four African ancestry cohorts (22,115 cases and 178,626 controls). We identified 311 lead variants in European-ancestry analyses and 316 lead variants in trans-ancestry analysis. Fine-mapping and transcriptome-wide analyses prioritized variants and genes implicated in sensory neuronal signaling, vascular tone, and immune regulation, with convergent evidence at several established loci including TRPM8 and PHACTR1. Drug-repurposing analyses identified therapeutic targets and compounds, including established migraine treatments and candidates requiring experimental validation. Genetic correlations, Mendelian randomization, and a phenome-wide scan linked migraine liability to psychiatric, pain, and gastrointestinal phenotypes. Together, these findings expand the known genetic architecture of migraine across ancestries and provide a genetics-led map connecting association signals with biological pathways, multimorbidity and candidate therapeutic mechanisms, providing a foundation for future functional and translational studies.

Background National childhood respiratory pathogen spectra are diversifying nearly everywhere - within-country diversity rose in 203 of 204 countries between 1990 and 2023 - yet whether countries are diversifying toward a common spectrum or along divergent paths is unknown. We quantified between-country compositional distance of national pathogen spectra over the same period. Methods We built national pathogen share vectors from Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 lower respiratory infection etiologic attributions (26 pathogens, 204 countries, ages 0-19 years) at five timepoints spanning 1990-2023. Between-country distance was measured as all pairwise Jensen-Shannon divergences (JSD; primary) and Bray-Curtis dissimilarities, with Baselga and Jaccard decompositions; robustness was assessed across metrics, pathogen panels, low-count thresholds and a balanced panel of 107 countries. Results Mean pairwise JSD rose from 0.0084 in 1990 to 0.0283 in 2023 (+238%; trend p = 0.030), peaking in 2021 (+283%) with a partial 2023 pullback. Bray-Curtis dissimilarity rose +120% and the balanced panel +423%. Divergence was entirely balanced variation (share reallocation), with spectrum richness rising from 18.5 to 21.1 of 26 pathogens. Dispersion rose fastest for influenza (coefficient of variation 0.03 to 0.55) and respiratory syncytial virus (0.08 to 0.48). Within-region distance rose in every computable GBD super-region (five of seven): divergence occurs within regions, not between blocs. Conclusions National spectra are re-sorting along country-specific axes as vaccine-preventable dominance recedes at different speeds. Diversification is universal, but convergence is absent: the transition at the etiologic-spectrum level is asynchronous and path-dependent, with implications for empirical treatment policy and pathogen surveillance.

Background Severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) strain healthcare systems. Sentinel surveillance remains central to SARI monitoring, but routinely collected hospital discharge data offer a scalable, population-wide complement. In Finland, national registers now enable register-based surveillance, yet SARI case definitions remain unevaluated. Aim To evaluate whether routinely collected electronic health records can support register-based SARI surveillance and establish a national case definition. Methods We conducted a retrospective register-based study linking inpatient discharge data from the Finnish Care Register for Health Care (Hilmo) and laboratory-confirmed pathogen notifications from the National Infectious Diseases Register (NIDR). Admissions were aggregated into hospitalisation episodes using generic and pathogen-specific respiratory ICD-10 codes and linked to laboratory-confirmed respiratory pathogens within an admission-centred window. We assessed the impact of diagnostic coding position, laboratory linkage windows and alternative case definitions on age distribution, seasonality and epidemic trend detection. Results We included 145,435 respiratory hospitalisation episodes. Laboratory confirmations clustered around admission, and a -7-to-+3-day window was selected; 51,498 (35.4%) had a linked laboratory confirmation. Specific primary-position diagnoses preserved clear seasonality and age distributions consistent with SARI epidemiology, whereas secondary-position diagnoses showed attenuated seasonality. A combined case definition incorporating specific primary diagnoses and laboratory-supported syndromic episodes produced stable epidemic curves while improving sensitivity over laboratory confirmation alone. Conclusion National discharge and laboratory registers can support robust SARI surveillance in Finland when case definitions are carefully designed. A combined register-based definition balances specificity, sensitivity and feasibility, complementing sentinel surveillance and integrated respiratory monitoring. Keywords Severe acute respiratory infection (SARI); surveillance; electronic health records; ICD-10; case definition; Finland

Background Phenotypic age acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel), derived from PhenoAge, and MetaboHealth are composite exposures of biological ageing and metabolic health associated with dementia-related outcomes. Whether these associations are causal and reflect the exposures, constituent biomarkers, or both remains unclear. Methods This study included UK Biobank participants of White British genetic ancestry. MetaboHealth was derived from nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) metabolomics and PhenoAgeAccel from clinical biomarkers and chronological age. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) were conducted for MetaboHealth (n=272,568) and PhenoAgeAccel (n=274,077). Independent genome-wide significant variants were used as genetic instruments in two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) with FinnGen all-cause dementia summary statistics. Inverse-variance weighting was the primary MR method. Causal network analysis estimated relationships among constituent biomarkers and dementia. Findings GWAS identified 126 and 141 independent genome-wide significant variants for MetaboHealth and PhenoAgeAccel, of which 109 and 141 were retained as genetic instruments. MR found no evidence of a causal effect of genetically predicted MetaboHealth (per unit: OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.49-1.42; p=0.51) or PhenoAgeAccel (per year: OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.95-1.02; p=0.44) on all-cause dementia, with consistent findings across sensitivity analyses and robust MR methods. Lower lymphocyte percentage and higher NMR-derived glucose had direct relationships with dementia in the joint constituent-biomarker network. Interpretation MR provided no evidence that either composite exposure causally influenced dementia. The network prioritised lymphocyte percentage and NMR-derived glucose, supporting examination of composite exposures alongside their constituent biomarkers. Funding NIHR, UKRI, MRC, UK Dementia Research Institute, Innovate UK, and European Union. Full funding details are provided in the acknowledgements.

Background: Serial glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) trajectories have become an important framework for contextualizing evolving secondary-injury pathophysiology after moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (msTBI). However, total GFAP pools release and clearance signals that may be less useful for longitudinal bedside decisions than a proteoform-resolved assay. We compared total GFAP with neoGFAP, defined here as calpain-generated GFAP proteoforms intended to index active astroglial proteolysis during the subacute phase. Methods: We analyzed 651 serial serum samples from 95 msTBI patients from a previously described single-site cohort. Total GFAP and neoGFAP were measured on the same MSD platform from 6 to 240 hours after injury. Early (6 to 72 h) and late (96 to 240 h) windows, data-derived tertiles, and serial trajectory summaries were calculated directly from serial samples. Models were benchmarked against age plus admission post-resuscitation Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and the admission IMPACT extended risk score using five-fold stratified cross-validation. Outcomes were unfavorable outcome (GOSE 1 to 4), less-than-good recovery (GOSE 1 to 6), Disability Rating Scale (DRS) [&ge;]15, mortality, and neuroimaging worsening at 6 months. Results: The cohort contributed 95 serial biomarker profiles, with 90 participants evaluable for 6-month GOSE and 89 for DRS. Unfavorable outcome occurred in 57/90 (63.3%), and less-than-good recovery in 79/90 (87.8%). For unfavorable outcome, IMPACT plus early neoGFAP reached AUROC 0.85 versus 0.84 for IMPACT plus early total GFAP and 0.81 for IMPACT alone. For less-than-good recovery, IMPACT plus late neoGFAP achieved AUROC 0.90 versus 0.84 for late total GFAP and 0.82 for IMPACT alone. Secondary analyses for DRS, mortality, and neuroimaging worsening showed smaller differences. Conclusions: In this retrospective analysis, neoGFAP provided clearer incremental value than total GFAP for recovery-oriented monitoring, especially when late-window reassessment of patients who remained at risk for less-than-good recovery was required. Results support prospective testing of neoGFAP as a pathophysiology-informed adjunct to serial bedside decision making, repeat-assessment thresholds, and recovery stratification.

Biological aging occurs heterogeneously across individuals and organs. However, current measures of biological age incompletely capture organ-specific differences in health and disease risk. Because chest CT visualizes multiple thoracic organs, it offers an opportunity to quantify structural aging across organ systems. Here, we developed MOSAIC-Age, a framework characterizing eight organ-specific aging clocks on chest CT. The clocks were developed and validated using 9,971 CT scans from CT-RATE and MIDRC, and subsequently locked and applied to two independent prospective cohorts with 35,293 participants from the National Lung Screening Trial and Genetic Epidemiology of COPD study. CT-derived biological age gaps (BAGs) were examined in relation to lifestyle and socioeconomic factors, prevalent comorbidities, incident chronic diseases, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Higher BAGs, indicating organs that appeared older on CT than expected for their chronological age, were broadly associated with adverse health characteristics, chronic disease burden, and increased mortality risk. Multiple disease outcomes were associated with aging across several organs, whereas in multivariable analyses including all eight organ-specific BAGs, the remaining associations were more organ specific. A greater number of markedly older-appearing organs and a faster pace of aging were each associated with higher mortality. Together, these findings demonstrate that routine chest CT captures both shared and organ-specific patterns of biological aging and establish CT-derived organ aging as a quantitative imaging biomarker for assessing multi-organ health and long-term disease risk.

Background: Refractory and macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) has emerged as a major challenge in pediatric respiratory medicine, amplified by the post-2023 resurgence. However, a systematic overview of the research landscape specific to treatment-refractory and drugresistant disease in children remains lacking. Methods: Research articles and reviews on pediatric refractory or macrolide-resistant MPP published between 2000 and 2025 were retrieved from OpenAlex using Boolean searches. After screening, 2,286 records were quantitatively analyzed for annual output, contributing countries/institutions, thematic clusters, and citation-burst dynamics using Python. Results: Annual publications grew exponentially, with a pronounced surge after 2023 (n=378 in 2025). China produced the highest volume (45.1%) but recorded fewer citations per publication than the US, Japan, and Canada. The literature resolved into four clusters: macrolide resistance/molecular basis, epidemiology, etiology/co-infection, and refractory disease management. Burst analysis showed an evolution from earlier fronts like 23S rRNA mutations and azithromycin to recent emerging trends like pandemic-related co-circulation, genotype surveillance, and co-infection. Conclusions: Research on pediatric refractory and resistant MPP is expanding rapidly, shifting in emphasis from etiologic descriptions toward resistance mechanisms and clinical management. Standardizing the treatment of macrolide-unresponsive disease and post-pandemic epidemiological surveillance represent the principal directions for future work. Keywords: Mycoplasma pneumoniae; children; macrolide resistance; refractory pneumonia; bibliometric analysis; research trends